VICI Properties: A Value Grab in an Overpriced Market

VICI Properties: A Value Grab in an Overpriced Market

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Finding undervalued bargains is challenging in the current economic environment. Since the beginning of the year, the market has been highly volatile and the trajectory of interest rates is uncertain, yet stocks are at an all-time high. The current Shiller PE ratio for the S&P 500 is at 35 against historical averages of around 17, and the Buffett Indicator is 184.70%, suggesting the market is heavily overbought. While glowing reports of unexpected profits and predictions of a soft landing occurred in the third quarter of 2023 to boost investor optimism, analysts caution investors to stay conservative. The January inflation report exemplifies that sentiment.

One hidden gem is VICI Properties Inc. (NYSE:VICI), a real estate investment trust that focuses on the gaming, hospitality, entertainment and leisure businesses. The stock has garnered positive analyst reviews with an average broker recommendation of outperform. As of March 8, GuruFocus lists the stock as moderately undervalued selling at a discount of 28.60% and gives it a GF Score of 89 out of 100 and a value score of 10 out of 10. The stock has an annual forward dividend yield of 5.62% and is currently trading at $29.12.

VICI Properties: A Value Grab in an Overpriced Market
VICI Properties: A Value Grab in an Overpriced Market

Industry and competitive landscape

The Gaming REIT sector, also known as the Casino REIT sector, is a relatively new area of real estate companies that lease land or properties to businesses focused on casinos, resorts, hotels and racetracks. The gaming REIT sector was created in 2013 with the development of Gaming and Leisure Properties Inc. (NASDAQ:GLPI), the first entrant into the space. The second entrant, MGM Growth Properties (MGP), went public in 2016 and VICI Properties became public in 2018. VICI acquired MGM Growth Properties in April 2022, reducing the public playing field to two companies. Gaming and Leisure Properties is the only pure-play publicly traded REIT in the gaming space. VICI Properties refers to itself as an experiential REIT. In addition to its gaming properties, comprising approximately 57% of its portfolio, VICI owns properties tied to four golf courses (operated by CDN Golf Management, an affiliate of Cabot) and 39 bowling alleys (operated by Bowlero.)

Blackstone Real Estate Investment Trust, a non-traded REIT and part of Blackstone's (NYSE:BX) product line, entered the gaming REIT space in 2019 when Blackstone acquired the real estate assets of the Bellagio from MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM). The following year, BREIT formed a joint venture with MGM Growth Properties to purchase the property assets of MGM Grand Las Vegas and Mandalay Bay. BREIT further expanded its position on the Las Vegas Strip through net-lease investments with the Cosmopolitan and the Bellagio. However, more recently, the REIT appears to be divesting gaming assets, as indicated by the sale of its stakes in MGM Grand Las Vegas and Mandalay Bay property assets to VICI in December 2022. BREIT also sold assets in the Bellagio to Realty Income Corp. (NYSE:O) in August of 2023. Currently, gaming property assets comprise approximately 5% of BREIT's portfolio.