Earnings Sentiment

Sentiment Analysis of the earnings transcript to help figure out if there are any bullish or bearish sentiments that could be gathered from it. We're doing ML and AI based analysis on the earnings call to get some more insights.

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Sentiment Distribution

   

Earnings Call Transcript Word Cloud

     

Bullish Statements during Earnings call

Statement
Our cost reduction performance was also very good during Q3, improving by $31 per net ton quarter-over-quarter
As for our annual automotive negotiations, our October 1st renewals, which represent about 30% of our total annualized auto volumes were another success
As a consequence of our operating practices utilizing HBI and maximizing scrap, Cliffs is among the lowest carbon intensity blast furnace base oxygen furnace operations in the entire world, and certainly much better than any of the current top 10 largest steel producers in the world
In fact, we have seen much better demand from these other automakers
We are just better at meeting our customer's needs in a detailed, driven and customized business like automotive, reliable quality, customer service, and meeting just in time needs are paramount and Cliffs does that better than anyone else
What sets Cliffs apart in automotive is our excellence at serving the clients
In fact, in these negotiations, we're successful in implementing the Cliffs H surcharge that we discussed last quarter
And since then, we are demonstrating that good equipment and good people, good union labor force can produce a lot of steel
This solid performance in costs is expected to continue into next year
We at Cleveland-Cliffs mourned the loss of Tom Conway, but our relationship with the USW will continue into the future, stronger than ever
This outperformance in automotive steel shipments and the lower service center shipments helped to mitigate the change in average selling prices quarter-over-quarter with a richer mix, holding strong above $1,200 per net ton even after the drop in overall index prices during the quarter
We've been very successful in M&A in the past
So we're able to keep our prices in good shape, and we implemented Cliffs H
The maintenance activities we performed last year have paid off for us as our operations have been running reliably, affording us the ability to achieve these strong shipment levels all year
Steel shipments from Cleveland-Cliffs to the automotive sector in Q3 were actually a quarterly record
So three quarters in a row, in an environment that's not the most vibrant I have ever seen, for sure, we have seen better than that
So, so far, so good
And I believe they will, because I'm a very optimistic person
How much less, time will tell, because we only have one trial so far in our smallest blast furnace in our fleet, that's Middletown, which was a big success
Back in August, we announced a potential exciting and transformational opportunity for Cleveland-Cliffs
Fast forward to Q3, our demand forecast has been confirmed and we have absolutely taken advantage of that
Yeah, I mean, we expect further cost reductions next year, as we will see benefit from this new coal contract and lower natural gas prices for the hedge portion
As a direct result of increased automotive production volumes, we actually set a new company record for direct automotive shipments during the third quarter, surpassing the previous two healthy quarters, even in the midst of model year changeovers and all the uncertainty before the strike was called by the UAW
But working capital should provide us a nice tailwind from a free cash flow standpoint
Q3 was our third straight quarter with total steel shipments above 4 million net tons, even in a business environment where service centers sat on their hands and were not actively buying for most of the quarter
There's numerous competitive forces every day to maintain and improve this reputation based on excellence
Lorenzo, really appreciated your comments on hydrogen and good job there
But we feel good where we are right now
We've executed well-timed acquisitions that we haven't overpaid for
I hope you're well
       

Bearish Statements during earnings call

Statement
As you may recall, we had to sacrifice production and shipments last year to bring some of these steel mills acquired in December, 2020 from ArcelorMittal USA to a reliable level of performance
But the problem is that our clients have all kinds of problems with hiring people, supply chain issues, the ability to handle the tonnage
Conversely, the service center sector was the one creating in Q3 the most negative impact associated with the UAW strike, not the automotive OEMs themselves
It's another competitive threat that we have to continue to take seriously
We also have seen growing competition from EAFs and the ongoing threats from aluminum substitution
Look, aluminum has been a threat for steel for a long, long time
So that's a pretty difficult position to be in
The other question I had was just, I know there's smaller parts of your mix, but we were kind of surprised to see stainless and electrical volumes down
We have been willing to sacrifice throughput to serve the wide variety of parts each one of the clients need
Look, well, our work done back in the second half of 2022 when we deliberately reduced throughput in order to fix the equipment that we bought from ArcelorMittal USA, that was in much worse shape than the equipment that we bought from AK Steel
And with the mixed results, mixed successes, keep in mind, beverage cans one day were all tinplate and now they're all aluminum
We did that knowing that our results would take a hit, the results took a hit
Regulatory authorities have been strict on fighting M&A deals that harm workers, and rightfully so
As of right now, the impact of the current outages on Cliffs are less significant than what we felt from the microchip shortage and other supply chain issues the entire automotive sector went through in 2021 and 2022
This came in less than our previous guide, only due to this mix factor, but we were happily take that trade off due to much higher prices associated with better mix
We are going to compete and we're going to win, but we're going to have to fight
As we guided, costs are going to be down $15 quarter-over-quarter
We expect cost to fall by another $15 per net ton during the fourth quarter
This is a business, we are incurring costs
This strike has passed the midpoint by a lot
   

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