Copper deficit drives price rally, mining stocks benefit

Copper deficit drives price rally, mining stocks benefit

Trade TECK on Coinbase

Copper prices (HG=F) have soared to an 11-month high, fueling a rally in mining stocks. RBC Capital Markets Mining Analyst Sam Crittenden joins Yahoo Finance Live to discuss his bullish outlook on the precious metal.

According to Crittenden, the copper rally "has been expected for a few months now." He highlights that supply disruptions during the fourth quarter of 2023 transformed what was anticipated to be a surplus in 2024 into a deficit, which has "driven these higher prices." While sluggish demand from regions like China has been a concern, he notes that as the summer construction season approaches, typically a "strong period," demand concerns could potentially abate, driving copper prices even higher.

However, Crittenden explains that the energy transition stands to be the biggest driver of copper demand going forward.

For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Yahoo Finance Live.

Editor's note: This article was written by Angel Smith

Video Transcript

- All right, let's take a look at some of those commodities moving to the upside. Copper prices are steadying after hitting an 11th month high earlier this week. Now the surge in commodity pricing driving mining stocks higher as well, with shares of companies like Teck Resources and Capstone Copper both climbing in the last month. For more on this, we want to bring in Sam Crittenden. He is RBC Capital Markets' Mining Analyst. Just first your reaction to this massive run up that we've seen in copper prices and where copper is trading today.

SAM CRITTENDEN: This has actually been expected for a few months now. So if you go back to Q4 of last year, we saw a number of supply disruptions in the copper space. So there is a large mine in Panama, Cobre, Panama, that went offline. You also saw some production downgrades from some of the larger companies. And that basically took 3% out of our supply estimate for this year. And so that flipped what we had as a surplus coming into 2024 to more of a deficit. And that's really driven these higher prices. People were expecting that for a while and it started-- you're finally starting to see that happen here in the last few weeks.

- And so if this was expected, Sam, what are the kind of top ideas that you're looking towards to continue to implement perhaps in the copper space?

SAM CRITTENDEN: Yeah, so our top picks in the equities will be Teck Resources, as you mentioned, Capstone Copper, and Ivanhoe Mines. Those are three names, we think both-- all three of them have excellent growth prospects for this year and beyond. And those would be our top ideas in the sector.