Want to participate in a short research study? Help shape the future of investing tools and you could win a $250 gift card!
Today we'll evaluate Air T, Inc. (NASDAQ:AIRT) to determine whether it could have potential as an investment idea. To be precise, we'll consider its Return On Capital Employed (ROCE), as that will inform our view of the quality of the business.
Firstly, we'll go over how we calculate ROCE. Second, we'll look at its ROCE compared to similar companies. Last but not least, we'll look at what impact its current liabilities have on its ROCE.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
ROCE measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. All else being equal, a better business will have a higher ROCE. Overall, it is a valuable metric that has its flaws. Author Edwin Whiting says to be careful when comparing the ROCE of different businesses, since 'No two businesses are exactly alike.'
So, How Do We Calculate ROCE?
The formula for calculating the return on capital employed is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
Or for Air T:
0.054 = US$3.3m ÷ (US$117m - US$57m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2018.)
So, Air T has an ROCE of 5.4%.
Check out our latest analysis for Air T
Does Air T Have A Good ROCE?
ROCE is commonly used for comparing the performance of similar businesses. We can see Air T's ROCE is meaningfully below the Logistics industry average of 10%. This performance could be negative if sustained, as it suggests the business may underperform its industry. Independently of how Air T compares to its industry, its ROCE in absolute terms is low; especially compared to the ~2.7% available in government bonds. Readers may wish to look for more rewarding investments.
As we can see, Air T currently has an ROCE of 5.4%, less than the 19% it reported 3 years ago. Therefore we wonder if the company is facing new headwinds.
When considering this metric, keep in mind that it is backwards looking, and not necessarily predictive. ROCE can be deceptive for cyclical businesses, as returns can look incredible in boom times, and terribly low in downturns. This is because ROCE only looks at one year, instead of considering returns across a whole cycle. How cyclical is Air T? You can see for yourself by looking at this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Air T's Current Liabilities And Their Impact On Its ROCE
Current liabilities include invoices, such as supplier payments, short-term debt, or a tax bill, that need to be paid within 12 months. Due to the way the ROCE equation works, having large bills due in the near term can make it look as though a company has less capital employed, and thus a higher ROCE than usual. To counteract this, we check if a company has high current liabilities, relative to its total assets.